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ASSESSMENT OF BUDGET 2010
      
By Jim Power, Chief Economist, Friends First
      
      
      
ECONOMIC & HOUSING MARKET OUTLOOK by Jim Power, Friends First
      
      
Background to Budget 2010
      
Key Measures in Budget 2010
      
The Mortgage & Property Sector
      
Overall Assessment
      
KEY MEASURES IN BUDGET 2010
      
      
Launch of a medium-term national savings product, called the National Solidarity Bond, to be used as an additional source of funding for capital investment. Details are not yet available, but it will represent a key competitor in the savings market
      
      
Pension lump sums below €200,000 will not be taxed. The treatment of sums above this level, and the tax treatment of pensions, including the consolidated 33% rate of relief will be considered in the Government’s National Pensions Framework, which will be published shortly
      
      
      
The tourism budget is to be increased to boost number of visitors to Ireland
      
      
      
A carbon tax is being introduced equivalent to €15 per tonne. The tax will apply to petrol and diesel from midnight on December 9th 2009, and will be extended to home heating oil and gas in May 2010. €50m of carbon tax yield will be used to help those at risk of fuel poverty and €130 million will be allocated for energy efficiency measures
      
      
Credit activity in the economy continues to weaken. In the 12-month period to October, total private sector credit contracted by 3.7% and mortgage credit expanded by just 0.2%. This reflects weakness in demand in an economy where consumer and business confidence is extremely fragile, and limited credit supply as a result of the extreme difficulties in the banking sector.
      
      
      
A VRT exemption for electric vehicles; relief’s for hybrid vehicles extended to 2012
      
      
      
Corporation tax rate of 12.5% is not to be changed and the three-year corporate and capital tax break for start up companies is to be extended
      
      
      
Top VAT rate is to be cut by 0.5% from January to 21%
      
      
      
Excise duty on alcohol to be reduced and must be passed on to consumer – equates to 12 cent per pint of beer and cider; 14 cent per half glass of spirits; and 60 cent per standard bottle of wine
      
      
      
€9.5 million is being made available as support measures for the food industry to enhance the competitiveness of this key indigenous industry
      
      
€36 million will be allocated to an Employers Job Incentive Scheme giving PRSI exemption to encourage employers to take employees off the dole
      
      
€136 million to be allocated to provide 26,000 training places for the unemployed
      
      
      
Roads, housing and education among investment priorities
      
      
Public services spending to be reduced, mainly through efficiencies rather than cuts
      
      
      
Rates of payment will revert to 2006 levels in child benefit
      
      
Child benefit to be reduced by €16 per month
      
      
      
No cut in State pensions planned
      
      
      
Further cuts for younger claimants. Jobseekers and supplementary welfare allowance to be reduced to €150; for persons aged 20 and 21 years of age who have no dependent children is being reduced to €100 per week and for those aged between 22 and 24 to €150 per week; and for all other cases, the rate will be reduced to €150 per week where job offers or activation measures have been refused
      
      
      
A 50 cent charge is to be introduced for every medical card prescription item from next April
      
      
      
The effective rate of income tax for those benefiting from tax reliefs will increase from 20% to 30% on top of which they will also pay PRSI levies
      
      
      
Social welfare to be cut by 4.1%
      
      
      
The Government has provided for an adjustment of €1bn in capital spending, and has also pencilled in an adjustment of about €2bn in day-to-day spending for 2011
      
      
      
Hospital consultants will see their pay cut by up to 15% under the Budget measures
      
      
      
Pensions for new public staff to be calculated on career average; the minimum pension age for new public servants will also be increased from 65 to 66 and then linked to increases in the state pension age
      
      
      
The State's pension bill to grow to 13% of GDP by 2050
      
      
      
Public sector pay to be cut by 5% on first €30,000 salary; 7.5% on the following €40,000 of salary and 10% on next €55,000
      
      
      
No pay increase for judges during lifetime of current Government. Taoiseach's pay to be cut by 20%; Ministers by 15%; 8% for public staff with salaries from €125,000 to €165,000; 12% for those earning between €165,000 to €200,000
      
      
      
Permanent pay reduction of 12% for public sector earners over €200,000
      
      
      
Vouched fuel allowance scheme to be introduced for low income families
      
      
      
Irish domicile levy of €200,000 per year to be introduced for high net worth individuals with annual income of over €1m wherever it arises and whose Irish-located capital is greater than €5m
      
      
      
Water charges to be introduced. The charges, like the charge on second homes, will finance the provision of local services by local authorities
      
      
      
Universal social contribution to be introduced which will replace employee PRSI, the Health Levy and the Income Levy in Budget 2011
      
      
      
      
A credit review system is being set up. The Minister will use his powers under the NAMA legislation to issue guidelines to all banks participating in NAMA who have an SME business, to ensure that SMEs, sole traders and farm enterprises will have recourse to an independent, external review of decisions of credit refusal by the banks. He wants to have an effective appeals process to help get credit flowing to vulnerable parts of the economy.
      
      
      
      
      
      
      
      
MonthSubject
Autumn 2010IRISH ECONOMIC BACKGROUND & OUTLOOK
May 2010IRISH ECONOMIC BACKGROUND
Feb 2010ECONOMIC & FINANCIAL UPDATE
Dec 2009ASSESSMENT OF BUDGET 2010
Dec 2009Budget 2010
Oct 2009ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL UPDATE
Sept 2009IRELAND-ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL UPDATE
July 2009ECONOMIC & FINANCIAL UPDATE
June 2009ECONOMIC & FINANCIAL UPDATE
May 2009INVESTMENT UPDATE
April 2009SUPPLEMENTARY BUDGET 2009 – AN ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT
Mar 2009Jim Power Commentary
Feb 2009Jim Power Commentary
      
      
        
        
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